From Chagos to the Gulf: the New Island Rush

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The British government has set aside a bill that would have ceded sovereignty of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius. That proposed deal included a 99 year lease for the joint United Kingdom and United States military base on Diego Garcia, so the strategic value of the installation was never in doubt.

United States President Donald Trump described the arrangement as an act of great stupidity. In response, the government led by Prime Minister Keir Starmer admitted that Washington’s formal approval was essential for the accord to proceed. Without American backing, the deal could not move forward.

Shortly afterwards, Mauritius Foreign Minister Dhananjay Ramful addressed an Indian Ocean Conference in Port Louis. He stated that he would spare no effort to pursue every diplomatic or legal avenue available to complete the decolonisation process. Mauritius’s sovereignty over the archipelago, he added, was not merely a political goal but a matter of justice. In his view, it represented a reaffirmation of the outcome after more than 50 years of struggle.

A History of Displacement

Britain forcibly removed nearly 2,000 native Chagossians in the mid 20th century to clear the way for the Diego Garcia base. Families were uprooted, and their connection to the islands was severed. In 2019, the International Court of Justice recommended that the islands be returned to Mauritius. 

Later that year, the United Nations General Assembly voted in favour of that recommendation, with 116 countries supporting the move. For years, the dispute remained confined to courtrooms and diplomatic backrooms. Few outside the region paid close attention. But now, a United States president’s anger, the ongoing crisis involving Iran, and a wave of other territorial claims have dragged the issue back into the centre of world affairs.

Trump’s Strategic Isles

The decision regarding the Chagos Islands is not an isolated event. It forms part of a wider reordering of global power that accelerated during 2026. After United States troops removed Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro in January, Donald Trump turned his attention to Greenland. He called the island so strategic right now and directly linked its military value to potential strikes against Iran. 

In a post on Truth Social, Trump wrote that Britain giving up extremely important land was another in a very long line of national security reasons why Greenland has to be acquired.

Cuba also entered Trump’s sights once Venezuela’s president was removed. He declared that the island was ready to fall. Meanwhile, Diego Garcia featured in Trump’s calculations as a launch point for strikes against Iran. 

Beyond these moves, Trump also openly discussed seizing strategic Iranian islands in the Gulf. He argued that controlling those islands was essential for dominating Gulf shipping lanes and countering Iranian influence. 

In this context, the Chagos deal had suddenly become part of a wider war for the control of sea lanes and military bases. What had once seemed like a narrow decolonisation dispute was now entangled with great power competition.

Decolonisation Squeezed by Strategic Hunger

The clash between military planning and claims for freedom has left groups with little leverage facing a harsh reality. Those who have the least power often suffer the most when strategic interests collide. 

Toby Noskwith, speaking for the campaign group Indigenous Chagossian People, expressed deep disappointment at the failed accord. He said, “We are astonished to have come to this point.” He went on to explain that the issue has been framed mainly as a state to state matter. 

But the people who have been lost throughout the process are the Chagossians themselves, particularly the elders and survivors of the original displacement. Their voices have been overshadowed by diplomatic manoeuvres and military calculations. 

The result is that justice for one of the world’s most forgotten communities has once again been postponed, squeezed between the urgent demands of global security and the slow machinery of international law.


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Read also:


The Éparses Islands: A Life Jacket Worth Saving


Justice is the Best Guarantee for Diego Garcia


Diego-Garcia Deal Hangs in the Balance

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